Practice 1 Solutions

State whether the scenario describes an independent or dependent event.

  1. One thousand people were surveyed online and asked to select their favorite movie genre: action, comedy, animation, or fantasy. As the surveyors reviewed the results, they noticed five people in a row selected “action.”

Independent

Note

The people surveyed are not influenced by others, and all have the same genres to select from.

  1. Sara has a laundry basket full of shirts that need to be hung up in her closet. She grabs a shirt, puts it on a hanger, and hangs it in the closet until the basket is empty.

Dependent

Note

This scenario is dependent because once a shirt is hung in the closet, it is not replaced in the pile.

  1. Three students in Ainsley’s probability class use a fair, four-section spinner to answer a 50-question multiple-choice test. The scores of each test are compared.

Independent

Note

One spin does not affect the other when the spinner is fair.

  1. What is the percent chance of flipping a coin and getting tails 5 times in a row?

P(T, T, T, T, T)=125=132=0.031253%

3%

  1. What is the probability of drawing an ace and then a king from a standard deck of cards when the card is replaced?

PA, K=452·452=113·113

1169

  1. What is the percent chance of rolling the numbers 2, 3, 4, 5 in a row when rolling a six-sided die?

P2, 3, 4, 5=164=11296=0.00077

0.077%

For problems 7–10, use the following scenario.

A bag of marbles contains four red, six blue, three green, and two yellow marbles. After each draw, the marble is replaced before a new one is selected. Determine the likelihood that the marbles are drawn in a specific order. Round to the nearest hundredth of a percent.

  1. P(R, R, Y)

PR, R, Y=415·415·215=323375=0.009481¯

0.95%

  1. P(B, R, Y)

PB, R, Y=615·415·215=161125=0.0142¯

1.42%

  1. P(B, G, B)

PB, G, B=615·315·615=1083375=4125=0.032

3.2%

  1. P(Y, not G)

PY, not G=215·1215=875=0.106¯

10.67%

For problems 11–12, use the following scenario.

A basketball team successfully shoots 85% of its throws from the free-throw line. They attempt to shoot a total of 18 free throws in a game.

Note

In basketball, a free throw is a one-point shot that is awarded to a player when the opposing team commits a foul.

  1. What is the probability that the team will successfully make exactly 16 free throws?

There is a 25.56% chance of successfully making exactly 16 free throws.

  1. What is the probability that the team successfully makes at least 16 free throws?

n=18, r=16, 17, 18, p=0.85, q=0.15P16=nCr18, 16·0.8516·0.151816=0.2556P17=nCr18, 17·0.8517·0.151817=0.1704P18=nCr18, 18·0.8518·0.151818=0.0536P16+P17+P18=0.4796

47.96%

Note

“At least” means the team successfully makes 16, 17, or 18 of the shots.

 

In this lesson, we found P(16), P(17), and P(18) individually. However, if you put the entire problem in the calculator with the formula, you will get an answer of 47.97%.

For problems 13–16, use the following scenario.

A manufacturer produces items with a 3% defect rate. If a random sample of 15 items is selected, to the nearest hundredth of a percent, what is the chance that:

  1. Exactly two items are defective

n=15, r=2, p=0.03, q=0.97P2=nCr15, 2·0.032·0.97152=0.0636

6.36%

  1. All items are without defects

n=15, r=0, p=0.97, q=0.03P15=nCr15, 15·0.9715·0.030=0.6333

63.33%

Note

Because the focus is on items without defects, or functioning items,  p=0.97.

 

Functioning is the opposite of defective.

  1. At most, two items are defective

n=12, r=0, 1, 2, p=0.03, q=0.97P2=nCr15, 2·0.032·0.9713=0.0636P1=nCr15, 1·0.031·0.9714=0.2938P0=nCr15, 0·0.030·0.9715=0.6333P2+P1+P0=0.9907

99.07%

  1. If there are only 13 items, determine the defect rate if exactly 4 items are defective.

n=13, r=4, p=0.03, q=0.97P4=nCr13, 4·0.034·0.97134=0.00044

0.04%

Note

The number of trials changed.

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